Santos Lagunavs
FC Juarez
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/14/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santos Laguna · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santos Laguna 2-1 FC Juarez
Original prediction
Santos Laguna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 46.7% | 49.3% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.9% | 25.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 27.4% | 25.5% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Santos Laguna
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Santos Laguna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40