Santos Lagunavs
Club Queretaro
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Queretaro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Santos Laguna 0-1 Club Queretaro, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Santos Laguna 5-0 Club Queretaro
Original prediction
Club Queretaro
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 43.5% | 22.5% | -21.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 26.1% | 25.3% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 30.4% | 52.3% | 21.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.9 pts
Projected Score
Santos Laguna 0–1 Club Queretaro
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Club Queretaro
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Club Queretaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40