Santos Laguna U21vs
UNAM Pumas U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 10/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Santos Laguna U21 0-0 UNAM Pumas U21, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Santos Laguna U21 1-1 UNAM Pumas U21
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.6% | 35.0% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.3% | 32.4% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.1% | 32.6% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.31 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Projected Score
Santos Laguna U21 0–0 UNAM Pumas U21
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.4%
Model confidence
35.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Santos Laguna U21WDWLD
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
UNAM Pumas U21WWDWD
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Santos Laguna U21UNAM Pumas U21
36.1Attack36.1
63.9Defence69.4
47.2Form47.2
50.8Power53.5
0.70xG0.72