Santos Laguna U21vs
Pachuca U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Santos Laguna U21 0-0 Pachuca U21, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Santos Laguna U21 2-0 Pachuca U21
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 02:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.12 | 28.8% | 28.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.4% | 33.5% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 43.8% | 38.4% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Projected Score
Santos Laguna U21 0–0 Pachuca U21
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.5%
Model confidence
38.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Santos Laguna U21LDLWD
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Pachuca U21WDDDD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Santos Laguna U21Pachuca U21
22.2Attack33.3
63.0Defence66.7
37.0Form40.7
43.3Power50.0
0.59xG0.73