Santo Domingovs
LDU Portoviejo
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 10/8/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Santo Domingo 0-0 LDU Portoviejo, with an exact score probability of 38%.
Prediction record
Final result
Santo Domingo 2-2 LDU Portoviejo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 45.9% | 40.4% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.1% | 38.2% | 8.1 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 24.0% | 21.5% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.00 · Draw 2.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Projected Score
Santo Domingo 0–0 LDU Portoviejo
Exact score probability: 38%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
40.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Santo DomingoWLWLW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LDU PortoviejoWDDLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santo DomingoLDU Portoviejo
31.0Attack29.8
77.4Defence69.0
47.6Form46.4
53.4Power50.9
0.62xG0.38