Santo Domingovs
Gualaceo SC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 9/27/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Santo Domingo 0-0 Gualaceo SC, with an exact score probability of 42%.
Prediction record
Final result
Santo Domingo 0-1 Gualaceo SC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 39.9% | 31.3% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.69 | 33.1% | 41.2% | 8.1 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.0% | 27.5% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Projected Score
Santo Domingo 0–0 Gualaceo SC
Exact score probability: 42%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Santo DomingoWLWWD
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Gualaceo SCLDWWW
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Santo DomingoGualaceo SC
29.5Attack33.3
76.9Defence79.5
47.4Form50.0
53.0Power55.5
0.44xG0.43