Santo Domingovs
El Nacional
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santo Domingo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Santo Domingo 0-0 El Nacional, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Santo Domingo 1-0 El Nacional
Original prediction
Santo Domingo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.4% | 56.5% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.1% | 30.6% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 5.12 | 17.6% | 12.8% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Projected Score
Santo Domingo 0–0 El Nacional
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Santo Domingo
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Santo Domingo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40