Santo Domingovs
Cumbayá
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 9/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Santo Domingo 0-0 Cumbayá, with an exact score probability of 37%.
Prediction record
Final result
Santo Domingo 2-1 Cumbayá
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.4% | 37.9% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.67 | 33.6% | 39.1% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 26.0% | 23.0% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Projected Score
Santo Domingo 0–0 Cumbayá
Exact score probability: 37%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Santo DomingoWDDWD
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CumbayáDLDDD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Santo DomingoCumbayá
29.0Attack31.9
76.8Defence68.1
44.9Form39.1
51.8Power47.7
0.60xG0.40