Santo Andrévs
EC São Bernardo
SCHEDULEDBrazil · Copa Paulista · 8/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santo André · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Santo André are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while EC São Bernardo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and eC São Bernardo hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Copa Paulista, favouring Santo André with 18.1% confidence, a 33% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santo André
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
18.1%
Santo André has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60