GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Paulista · 7/5/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santo André · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Santo André are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while EC São Bernardo are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and EC São Bernardo hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Copa Paulista, while Santo André holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santo André

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Santo André has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santo AndréLLDLW

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
EC São BernardoW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Santo AndréEC São Bernardo
0.0Attack20.0
16.7Defence50.0
0.0Form20.0
11.2Power33.2
1.16xG0.63
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