GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 8/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santiago Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Mediumconfidence

Santiago Wanderers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Magallanes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santiago Wanderers hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Primera B, while Santiago Wanderers holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santiago Wanderers

Probability

63.2%

Model confidence

10.0%

Santiago Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santiago WanderersDDLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MagallanesWDWWL

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Santiago WanderersMagallanes
61.4Attack57.4
64.9Defence42.6
59.6Form51.9
62.5Power53.6
2.32xG1.07
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