Santiago Wanderersvs
Magallanes
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 8/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santiago Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santiago Wanderers 2-1 Magallanes
Original prediction
Santiago Wanderers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.4% | 60.0% | 17.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 20.2% | -7.3 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 30.2% | 19.9% | -10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Santiago Wanderers
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Santiago Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80