GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 3/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santiago Wanderers · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Santiago Wanderers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Deportes Santa Cruz are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santiago Wanderers hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Primera B, while Santiago Wanderers holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santiago Wanderers

Probability

74.0%

Model confidence

12.6%

Santiago Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santiago WanderersDLWLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Deportes Santa CruzDDWWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Santiago WanderersDeportes Santa Cruz
61.4Attack42.1
64.9Defence40.4
59.6Form28.1
62.5Power39.6
2.52xG0.75
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