Santiago Wanderersvs
Deportes Iquique
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santiago Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santiago Wanderers 1-0 Deportes Iquique
Original prediction
Santiago Wanderers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.5% | 56.6% | 18.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.2% | 23.2% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.3% | 20.1% | -13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Santiago Wanderers
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Santiago Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60