GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 2/26/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santiago Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Santiago Wanderers are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while D. Puerto Montt are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Santiago Wanderers hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Primera B, while Santiago Wanderers holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santiago Wanderers

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Santiago Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santiago WanderersLD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
D. Puerto MonttD

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Santiago WanderersD. Puerto Montt
61.4Attack38.9
64.9Defence66.7
59.6Form55.6
62.5Power55.6
1.34xG0.73
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