Santiago Wanderersvs
Curico Unido
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santiago Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Santiago Wanderers 1-0 Curico Unido, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Santiago Wanderers 1-2 Curico Unido
Original prediction
Santiago Wanderers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.3% | 47.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.2% | 27.9% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 26.5% | 24.6% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Projected Score
Santiago Wanderers 1–0 Curico Unido
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Santiago Wanderers
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Santiago Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20