Santiago Morningvs
San Marcos de Arica
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 2/28/2023, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Santiago Morning are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while San Marcos de Arica are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and San Marcos de Arica hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/1.00
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50