Santiago Morningvs
Real San Joaquín
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 10/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santiago Morning · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Santiago Morning 0-0 Real San Joaquín, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Santiago Morning 1-2 Real San Joaquín
Original prediction
Santiago Morning
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 49.0% | 40.9% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 30.2% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 24.0% | 29.0% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Projected Score
Santiago Morning 0–0 Real San Joaquín
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Santiago Morning
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Santiago Morning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00