GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santiago Morning · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Santiago Morning are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Provincial Ovalle are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santiago Morning hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.2% in the Segunda División, while Santiago Morning holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santiago Morning

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

17.2%

Santiago Morning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santiago MorningDLLDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Provincial OvalleWLLDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Santiago MorningProvincial Ovalle
28.2Attack30.6
59.0Defence33.3
28.2Form16.7
40.9Power29.8
1.25xG0.67
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