Santiago Morningvs
Provincial Ovalle
SCHEDULEDChile · Segunda División · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santiago Morning · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Santiago Morning are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Provincial Ovalle are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santiago Morning hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.2% in the Segunda División, while Santiago Morning holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santiago Morning
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
17.2%
Santiago Morning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40