GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 5/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Provincial Osorno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Santiago Morning are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Provincial Osorno are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial Osorno hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.9% in the Segunda División, while Provincial Osorno holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Provincial Osorno

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

24.9%

Provincial Osorno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santiago MorningDWWDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Provincial OsornoDWWDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Santiago MorningProvincial Osorno
28.2Attack41.0
59.0Defence87.2
28.2Form69.2
40.9Power67.7
0.43xG1.00
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