Santiago Morningvs
Provincial Osorno
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 5/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Provincial Osorno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Santiago Morning are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Provincial Osorno are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial Osorno hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.9% in the Segunda División, while Provincial Osorno holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Provincial Osorno
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
24.9%
Provincial Osorno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40