Santiago Morningvs
General Velásquez
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santiago Morning · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Santiago Morning 0-0 General Velásquez, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Santiago Morning 0-0 General Velásquez
Original prediction
Santiago Morning
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.1% | 38.4% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 32.4% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 24.8% | 29.3% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Projected Score
Santiago Morning 0–0 General Velásquez
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Santiago Morning
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Santiago Morning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20