Santiago Morningvs
Colchagua
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 3/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colchagua · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Santiago Morning are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Colchagua are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Colchagua hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.9% in the Segunda División, while Colchagua holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Colchagua
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
24.9%
Colchagua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80