Santiago Cityvs
Trasandino
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 10/3/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santiago City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santiago City 1-1 Trasandino
Original prediction
Santiago City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.7% | 38.4% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.1% | 29.2% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 30.2% | 32.4% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Santiago City
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Santiago City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00