GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 6/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santiago City · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Santiago City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Provincial Ovalle are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Santiago City hold a 26.0-point power-rating edge (55.8 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.1% in the Segunda División, while Santiago City holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santiago City

Probability

68.1%

Model confidence

68.1%

Santiago City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santiago CityLWDDD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Provincial OvalleLDLDL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Santiago CityProvincial Ovalle
48.7Attack30.6
51.3Defence33.3
59.0Form16.7
55.8Power29.8
2.27xG0.75
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