Santiago Cityvs
Municipal Salamanca
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 9/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Santiago City 0-0 Municipal Salamanca, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Santiago City 1-0 Municipal Salamanca
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.8% | 37.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.4% | 32.0% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 32.9% | 30.9% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
Santiago City 0–0 Municipal Salamanca
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.0%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40