GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Santiago City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Municipal Salamanca are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Salamanca hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (55.8 v 62.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.0% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

21.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santiago CityWLDLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Municipal SalamancaDDDWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Santiago CityMunicipal Salamanca
48.7Attack30.6
51.3Defence86.1
59.0Form61.1
55.8Power62.3
0.80xG0.83
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