Santiago Cityvs
Concón National
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 9/5/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Concón National · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santiago City 3-0 Concón National
Original prediction
Concón National
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.6% | 32.4% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.2% | 28.2% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 34.3% | 39.4% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Concón National
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Concón National has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40