Santiago Cityvs
Colchagua
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 10/10/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santiago City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Santiago City 0-0 Colchagua, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Santiago City 2-3 Colchagua
Original prediction
Santiago City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.2% | 38.8% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.4% | 31.6% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.4% | 29.6% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Projected Score
Santiago City 0–0 Colchagua
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Santiago City
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Santiago City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60