Santamarinavs
Villa Mitre
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 6/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Santamarina are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Villa Mitre are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Villa Mitre hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40