GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Santamarina are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while San Martín Mendoza are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and san Martín Mendoza hold a 11.1-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Torneo Federal A, favouring a draw with 39.0% confidence, a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

39.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SantamarinaLLDLL

GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
San Martín MendozaDDDWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SantamarinaSan Martín Mendoza
16.7Attack25.9
64.8Defence68.5
24.1Form42.6
37.0Power48.1
0.44xG0.52
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