Santamarinavs
Kimberley Mar del Plata
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 6/7/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Santamarina are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kimberley Mar del Plata are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kimberley Mar del Plata hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
34.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60