Santamarinavs
Guillermo Brown
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Santamarina are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Guillermo Brown are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Guillermo Brown hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.5% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
30.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40