GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/25/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Santamarina are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Germinal de Rawson are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Germinal de Rawson hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

35.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SantamarinaDWDLD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Germinal de RawsonWLDDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SantamarinaGerminal de Rawson
17.5Attack26.3
57.9Defence70.2
22.8Form43.9
34.7Power48.3
0.42xG0.64
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