SantamarinavsCirculo Deportivo

Santamarina are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Circulo Deportivo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Circulo Deportivo hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.