Santamarinavs
Alvarado
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 7/11/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alvarado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Santamarina are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alvarado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alvarado hold a 28.5-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.2% in the Torneo Federal A, while Alvarado holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alvarado
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
27.2%
Alvarado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60