SantacruzensevsMogi Mirim

Santacruzense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mogi Mirim are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santacruzense hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Paulista Série B, while Santacruzense holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.