Santacruzensevs
Independente SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 5/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independente SP · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Santacruzense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independente SP are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independente SP
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
12.0%
Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60