GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 6/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

America SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santacruzense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while America SP are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and America SP hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Paulista Série B, while America SP holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

America SP

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

America SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SantacruzenseDLWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
America SPDWWWD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SantacruzenseAmerica SP
52.8Attack51.0
55.6Defence80.4
41.7Form66.7
48.8Power66.9
0.85xG1.31
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