Santa Lucíavs
Vittoriosa Stars
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Lucía · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santa Lucía 0-0 Vittoriosa Stars
Original prediction
Santa Lucía
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.7% | 52.2% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.7% | 21.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.84 | 18.6% | 26.0% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.98 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Santa Lucía
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Santa Lucía has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20