GGOALVIO

Santa Lucía logoSanta LucíavsBalzan FC logoBalzan FC

COMPLETED

Malta · Premier League · 9/26/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Balzan FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Lucía are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Balzan FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Balzan FC hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Premier League, while Balzan FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Balzan FC

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Balzan FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa LucíaLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/3.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Balzan FCWLDLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Santa LucíaBalzan FC
32.1Attack33.3
47.4Defence66.7
38.5Form33.3
41.5Power45.3
0.91xG1.29
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