GGOALVIO

Brazil · Goiano - 2 · 8/27/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Santa Helena are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWLD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Aparecida GO are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLLD), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.7 against 42.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Goiano - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa HelenaLWLD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/0.75

BTTS 0/4O2.5 0/4
Aparecida GOWLLD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Santa HelenaAparecida GO
33.3Attack35.7
54.8Defence54.8
35.7Form33.3
43.7Power42.5
0.97xG0.88
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