GGOALVIO

Colombia · Liga Femenina · 5/17/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Fe W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Santa Fe W are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Independiente Medellín W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe W hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.3% in the Liga Femenina, while Santa Fe W holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Fe W

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

17.3%

Santa Fe W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa Fe WDDDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente Medellín WWLWLW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Santa Fe WIndependiente Medellín W
51.1Attack46.7
75.6Defence57.8
55.6Form42.2
59.9Power49.1
1.43xG0.62
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