Santa Fe Wvs
Corinthians W
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores Femenina · 10/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Corinthians W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santa Fe W 1-5 Corinthians W
Original prediction
Corinthians W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.39 | 16.7% | 32.1% | 15.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.2% | 26.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.55 | 58.1% | 41.9% | -16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Corinthians W
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Corinthians W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60