Santa Fevs
Vasco DA Gama
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santa Fe 0-0 Vasco DA Gama
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 41.6% | 33.9% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 32.3% | 30.5% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.61 | 26.1% | 35.6% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.92 · Draw 1.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.5%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Santa FeDWDDD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Vasco DA GamaLWWWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santa FeVasco DA Gama
50.0Attack56.7
91.7Defence70.0
66.7Form60.0
69.5Power62.3
0.92xG1.10