GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/9/2023, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Santa Fe are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Universitario are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 42.4-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Fe

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa FeLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
UniversitarioWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Santa FeUniversitario
83.3Attack33.3
100.0Defence70.4
100.0Form48.1
94.8Power52.4
1.13xG0.67
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