Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Santa Fe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Llaneros are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.5% in the Primera A, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Fe
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
18.5%
Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00