Santa Fevs
La Equidad
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 5/3/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Santa Fe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while La Equidad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Primera A, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Fe
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
12.3%
Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00