Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Santa Fe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Junior are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.9 against 55.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Primera A, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Fe
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60