Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Santa Fe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Junior are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.9 against 55.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Primera A, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Fe
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
14.5%
Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20