Santa Fevs
Gimnasia L.P.
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/19/2023, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Santa Fe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gimnasia L.P. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 58.4-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Fe
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00