Santa Fevs
Fortaleza FC
COMPLETEDColombia · Copa Colombia · 10/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santa Fe 2-2 Fortaleza FC
Original prediction
Santa Fe
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 21:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.9% | 42.5% | -11.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.7% | 29.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.74 | 19.4% | 28.4% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Santa Fe
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80